Sunday, March 4, 2012

MMOData Charts version 3.7 is live !

Version 3.7 notes :

General Changes :

- Revised subscription datapoints for WoW East, WoW West, Runescape, Lineage, Lineage II and Aion.
- Added Wen Dao and Journey to the West to the PCU chart.
- Changed Star Trek Online from SS to AA now that they went F2P.
- Added subscription datapoints for : Runescape, Eve Online, Star Wars The Old Republic and Star Trek Online.
- Changed the Accuracy Rating for SWTOR from A to B.
- Added EVE Online Global and China AA ( Active Accounts ), this includes the Global server Tranquility, the China server Serenity and the trial accounts.
- Added active account datapoints for : Star Trek Online
- Added Peak Concurrent Users datapoints for : EUdemons Online, Wen Dao, Journey to the West, Fantasy Westward Journey and EVE Online.
- Fixed misalignment problem with the 1m+ chart.
- Added vertical gridlines to improve the readability of the datapoint dates and easier spot misalignment problems.
- Added seperate accuracy rating for WoW East and WoW West.
- Corrected the name of Zhengtu to Zheng Tu.
- Made a seperate page for Accuracy and abbreviations and for Requirements and definitions.
- Revised the Requirements and definitions page.
- Revised and expanded the Glossary page.
- Made some cosmetic changes to the charts.
- Revised the Contributor section.

Internal Changes :

- Added various sources and information as notes in the dataset.
- Added EVE Online China to the dataset.

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Version 3.6 thoughts and comments

For v3.6 most important is of course Star Wars The Old Republic, which had a strong start with 1,7m subs at the beginning of February 2012. However there are some indications that numbers are going down a bit, I will keep a close eye on it, especially now between 20/02/2012 and 23/02/2012, when the bulk of the players have to resubscribe for the second time since release.

Then on to EVE Online, they went back to their roots, and despite the launch of SWTOR, the only serious competition in sci-fi mmorpg's since the launch of EVE, it's holding ground.
It looks like EVE is on route to full recovery, and SWTOR seems to be just a bump in the road. I can even imagine that SWTOR may become the boost that EVE needs to get back to their previous 370k and then over the 400k subs.

How is that you may ask, well, another interesting trend is that the Sci-Fi subgenre has grown substantially because of SWTOR, and once the novelty wears off, people may choose Sci-Fi again and pick EVE, and leave all the fantasy mmorpg's for what they are.

Now then, where did all these SWTOR subs come from? Well there is definitely a good chunk of WoW players that switched sides. If we look at the Western market, then SWTOR is close to half the numbers of WoW now. However after the initial bleed WoW seems to be stabilized. And I believe SWTOR also introduced a good chunk of new mmorpg'ers, expanding the market.

Meanwhile I am already planning v3.7
I am trying to get some numbers for Star Trek, now that they went F2P. They got a serious boost in Active Accounts, no doubt about it. I may be able to make an estimate for v3.7
I also got some weird numbers on Runescape, so I will investigate that.
And I will take another look at the Asian market and see if I can digg up some more PCU's from there.

Update :

Looks like I made a mistake on the WoW East / WoW West distribution.
Expect a new version soon rectifying this mistake and also new numbers for EVE, showing a nice growth.
Besides that, I will rate WoW East and WoW West separately from now on, it will receive a B-rating.
This on top of the already mentioned additions for v3.7
V3.7 is expected to be released on March 5.

Update2 :

I have retracted some of the WoW East / WoW West datapoints, this change is online right now on a temporary version of the 1m+ chart.
But now I found a misalignment issue on the 1m+ chart. This places the datapoints 6 months before their correct date. Keep this in mind when looking at this chart. This will be fixed in v3.7.

Monday, February 20, 2012

MMOData Charts version 3.6 is Live !

Version 3.6 notes :

General Changes :

- Added SWTOR to the 1m+ subscription chart.
- Removed WoW Global from the PCU chart and replaced it with WoW East and WoW West.
- Removed the WoW chart ( there is not enough information to have seperate listings for WoW NA and WoW EU ).
- Added WoW West and WoW East to the 1m+ chart.
- Added subscription / active account datapoints for WoW, EVE, SWTOR, WoW East and WoW West, Rift, LOTRO, Aion, SWG.
- Downgraded Rift accuracy rating from B to C.
- Added PCU datapoints for EVE, Second Life.
- Expanded sheets and charts to March 2012.
- Updated the Total Subs chart.
- Lowered the rank of Rift on the charts, it was higher ranked than it should have been. ( Rank on the list is determined by peak subscriptions of all time ).
- Added various entries to the Glossary.
- Made several small cosmetic changes to the site.

Internal Changes :

- Added various sources and information as notes in the dataset.
- Merged EVE, SL and WoW sheets into Subs and PCU sheets, simplifying the overall dataset.
- Removed market share dataview.
- Improved Checks and Sums.

Friday, February 3, 2012

Version 3.6 in the works

Hey all

It has been a while, I have mainly been waiting for some numbers on Star Wars The Old Republic before releasing new charts. And my prayers have been heard :p

They have 1,7m subscribers resubscribing after the first month, out of 2m copies sold, that's pretty impressive.

source : Reuters

Besides the SWTOR addition to the charts there will be new numbers for EVE Online, Second Life and some others.

Expect v3.6 to be released soon(tm)

Update :

Some people claimed that the 1,7m subs are from December. This is actually incorrect.
Here is a quote from EA from the Q3 conference call, note that this conference call is held on February 1, 2012 :

"Let me offer some metrics on purchase and subscription that will help you understand this business. As John stated, we have sold through two million units of the game since December.
We currently have a little over 1.7 million active subscribers. The rest have either not started playing yet or have opted out."

Currently means like right now and "or have opted out" means that this is after the first 30 days since release, when the first batch of players could have opted out on their subscription.

Well EA could also be lying on their Q3 report, but I doubt that.
Anyone can check the Q3 quarterly results conference call on the EA website.

Sunday, October 9, 2011

MMOData Charts version 3.5 is Live !

Hey all,

This is only a small update, and way later than it should have been, nonetheless, here it is.

Most interesting is that EVE is holding on to it's subs, at least up to July 2011, altho the PCU is dropping. We will have to wait and see if the PCU drop is only due to the summer holidays or if there is a more structural problem with subscriptions.

Meanwhile CCP is working hard to get the veterans back on board :
a letter to the followers of eve
eve updating - winter expansion 2011

Moving on to World of Warcraft, Blizzard can not curb the downard trend it started in May and hits a new low at 11,1m subs, however if this trend continues, WoW will live on for a good while.

Actually, I think both EVE and WoW are still one of the more alive MMORPG's on the market, and with the right adjustments they can have a bright future.


Version 3.5 notes :

General Changes :

- Added subscription datapoints for :
Eve Online, World of Warcraft
- Added following MMORPG's to the PCU 0-500k chart :
Tera Korea, ZT Online II
- Added PCU datapoints for :
Eve online, Second Life, Westward Journey Online II, World of Warcraft
- Expanded charts, sheets and formulas to December 2011

Thursday, June 30, 2011

Will CCP save EVE? Emergency CSM meeting ( edit : results are in )

After the EVE meltdown, CCP called for an emergency CSM meeting.

MadOverlord aka Trebor from the CSM gives us some hope.

Lets pray EVE gets saved.

edit :

And this is what CCP and the CSM has come up with :
CCP - CSM meeting Devblog

It is not perfect, far from it, but it is a step in the right direction.
I am still puzzled as to why they just can't simply return the old hangar view with a "disembark to captain quarters" button, but we will have to wait and see what they come up with.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

MMOData Charts version 3.4 is Live !

Hey all,

With me having more time to spare, I pulled MMOData from maintenance mode and went back to full throttle.

Most important change for the future is the addition of Active Accounts, which will allow me to list more MMORPG's overall. From now on, all MMORPG's will be marked as AA ( Active Acounts ) or SS ( Subscriptions ), so it is easy to see the difference. Clearly Subscriptions are more important but it is interesting to see Active Accounts as well I believe.

Most interesting additions right now are of course the newly released Rift and the decline of WoW. I received a usable datapoint for Rift right before the deadline so there you go.

WoW going from 12 million to 11,4 million is to me a result of making the game to easy to max level. You can't even experience all the content because you level out of the areas way before you have seen it all. Same goes for instance queueing, and god forbid you want to do instances AND quests ... it is a shame really, because the game has improved content wise imho.

Second Life makes a serious entrance in the Active Accounts department, I also got back on track with the PCU datapoints for Second Life, thanks to Dwell On It.


Version 3.4 notes :

General Changes :

- Migrated the Subscription charts to Subscriptions and Active Accounts charts. Each MMORPG received a tag ( AA = Active Accounts or SS = Subscriptions ).
- Added Rift to the charts.
- Added Subscription and/or Active Account datapoints for Wow, Aion, LOTRO, Second life, EVE Online and Rift.
- Added a Subscription datapoint for WoW East and West for January 2009 using the previous ratio, this was needed because otherwise it made it look incorrect on the charts, East and West seemed to increase while Global went down. In reality there was nothing wrong, it just seemed that way because Global had more datapoints.
- Removed the Chinese downtime datapoint for WoW on the 1m to 12m chart. The WoW specific chart still shows the Chinese downtime datapoint for reference.
- Added PCU datapoints for Second life.
- Made some revisions to following Subscription and/or Active Account datapoints : AoC, Aion, LOTRO, WAR, DDO
- Removed the Second Life subscription datapoints as they were quite old and no new data was available. This has been replaced with MUURL numbers ( Monthly Unique User Repeat Logins ) and therefore Second Life datapoints are now marked as Active Accounts.
- Moved Second Life from the 50k - 150k chart to NR 1 in the 150k - 1m chart.
- Moved Lord of the Rings Online up to NR 4 in the 150k - 1m chart.
- Removed a Perpetuum datapoint for better visibility.
- Changed the Accuracy Rating system : removed the D rating and adjusted the C rating. Revised the MMORPG ratings accordingly.
- Made some adjustments to the "Requirements for MMO's to be allowed on the site and charts" section under the "Accuracy Rating and Requirements".
- Made some cosmetic changes to the site.
- Added Dwell on it to contributers.

Internal Changes :

- Added a lot of source data.
- Removed unusable source data.
- Removed unusable Second Life data.
- Fixed several internal errors.
- Removed market share chart.
- Added EVE Online Active Accounts in addition to Subscriptions. Active Accounts include the Trial Accounts.

Friday, June 24, 2011

Riots in EVE against Microtransactions and forced Incarna expansion

Hey everyone,

For the first time in EVE there are massive protests in all the major trade hubs.

The reason is the introduction of microtransactions into the game, the crazy prices charged for them, a leaked document from CCP where several high profile employees support the introduction of gameplay impacting microtransactions ( on top of the newly added vanity items ) and the forcing of the Incarna expansion on the EVE players by removing the old station hangar and loading directly into the captains quarters.

CCP has broken the trust from the players, by first promissing gameplay altering microtransactions would not be introduced ( meanwhile making plans to do just this ) and secondly by telling that Incarna would be optional ( with a "leave ship" button when inside the station hangar ), and now breaking also that promise.

Not to mention it is a very bad idea to introduce microtransactions to an established mmorpg in the first place, especially when said mmorpg has 360k+ subs and growing!

CCP are changing the foundations of EVE for no good reason but wanting to get fucking filthy rich instead of just filthy rich. And furthermore it is higly unlikely that they will earn more money this way, because history has shown, that for EVE, the pure subscription model works very well. Expand and improve the game and get rewarded by custumers staying and more customers joining.

EVE is as much a creation by the players as it is by CCP, by destroying the trust, EVE will failcascade hard, just like Star Wars Galaxies did, that other well known Sci-Fi sandbox, which will close down this december. SWG closing down
Which of course is the result of the CU and the NGE, where the SWG foundation was completely changed by changing many sandbox aspects into themepark systems, as Sony Online Entertainment and Lucas Arts aimed for replacing their current playerbase by more and better players. This completely backfired and the game dropped from 300k to less than 50k subscriptions over time.

The trade hubs Jita and Amarr are already capped and the statues burning, Rens and Dodixie are going next, altho at Rens and Dodixie the protest is more peacefull because there is no statue to shoot at those locations, and the protest is limited to shouting slogans as "Hell no, we won't micro" and "No forced Incarna!".

A condensed version of the issues, recommended reading.

Some background info

Jita live feed

Post on Jita protest

CCP bulletin on microtransactions confirmed

EVE NEWS 24 story coverage

Eve burns
Eve burns part II

Here a screenshot of Jita 4-4 burning :

And protest in Rens :


Update :
CCP clearly capped Jitta at 1500 players, normally Jita can support over 2000.
Amarr is at 1200+ and going up.
Rens is at 500+ and increasing.

Update :
Dodixie at 700 and rising.

Update Friday 22:00h GMT :
The protest still going strong.
Here another screenshot of Jita :

Update Saturday 10:00h GMT :
The protest and riots coninue on Saturday, Jita still burning.

Update Saturday 20:00h GMT :
Riots still going on, Jita is locked down, I can't enter, heavy protest continues in Amarr.

Stay tuned for updates.

Sunday, June 19, 2011

New version 3.4 will be released soon!

Version 3.4 is pretty much ready.

I am waiting on a few numbers for confirmation and will revise the whole thing during this week.

It has become a more beefy upgrade, now that I have some more time to spare. So you guessed it, MMOData is now officially off "Maintenance mode" and back in full throttle.

Here are some of the highlights you can expect in v3.4 :

- A new WoW datapoint : 11,4m, showing a substantial decline( comming from 12m ). I do not expect WoW to recover this time, unless some drastic but well thought out changes are made.

- For the first time, I am introducing Active Accounts to the charts. Each MMORPG will receive a tag ( AA = Active Accounts or SS = Subscriptions ). So it is clear what the datapoints represent.
Because of this, I was able to add new Active Account datapoints for LOTRO and Second Life.

- I made some adjustments to the "Requirements for MMO's to be allowed on the site and charts" section under the "Accuracy Rating and Requirements", mostly to accomodate the introduction of Active Accounts.

- I changed the Accuracy Rating system : removed the D rating and adjusted the C rating and revised the MMORPG ratings accordingly. This will make it a bit easier for me to choose which rating an MMORPG will get and it will be more accurate because of this. It will also be more clear for you, the readers.

- Added alot of internal information and datapoints, that will most likely result in more numbers for next version (3.5).

The Active Accounts introduction as wel as catching up with the latest in MMORPG land was a bit of work, but I am back up to speed now.

I do have to dissapoint the many people who requested Rift to be added, I really want too, but I just don't have enough information. So if anyone has more information regarding Rift that might help put it on the charts, that would be very welcome.

The Syndicate - Beyond The Legend

Sean Stalzer made a book called "The Syndicate - Beyond The Legend".

He describes Online Gaming and MMORPG's as seen thru the eyes of The Syndicate.

The Syndicate is a well established online gaming guild.

MMOData.net is used on several occasions as a reference.

You can check out the book here :
Book : The Syndicate - Beyond The Legend